Changing pattern of youth labour market transitions

[ employment-and-welfare  education-and-training  modelling-and-descriptives  ]

This paper examines how young people’s early transitions into the labour market have changed between cohorts born in 1958, 1970, 1980, and 1990. We use sequence analysis to characterise transition patterns and identify three distinct pathways in all cohorts: those who have a more-or-less smooth transition into employment; those who remain in education; and those whose experiences are potentially more of a concern in the sense that they appear not to achieve either of these. We examine how the predictors of being in one rather than another of these groups have changed over time, and demonstrate that these early transitions are highly predictive of longer-term outcomes.


Anders, J. and Dorsett, R. (2017) What young English people do once they reach school-leaving age: A cross-cohort comparison for the last 30 years. Longitudinal and Life Course Studies 8 (1): 75-103.

Anders, J. and Dorsett, R. (2015) How have young people’s routes from school to work changed over the past 30 years?, NIESR blog

Speckesser, S., Anders, J., De Coulon, A., Dorsett, R., Espinoza Bustos, H., Kirchner Sala, L. and Nafilyan, V. (2015) Empirical research on Youth Transitions to, and within the labour market BIS Research Paper 255


Department for Business, Innovation and Skills